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香港大学医学院院长梁卓伟等港大医学院公共卫生学院的学者团队，在医学期刊《刺针》发表报告指出，透过模型估算截至1月25日，湖北武汉共有7万5000多人感染新型冠状病毒，之后传播到广州、北京、上海和深圳等地。

报告估计，病毒传染能力若无减弱，武汉当地的疫情会在4月达顶点，重庆、北京等城市会在随后一周至两周进入高峰期。

报告指出，病毒已蔓延至中国各省市及全球20多个国家，若立即采取重大措施或严厉措施，限制受影响地区的人口流动，如停课以及在家工作等，有可能遏制到疫情扩散，但若无积极的公共卫生干预措施，可能难以阻止各国发展出本地疫情。

报告还建议各地做好准备，包括测试试剂、药品、个人防护设备、医院用品，及人力资源等。

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