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Cresset Capital首席投资官杰克阿布林认为，美国股市场很可能在明年初出现大幅回调。阿布林管理着54亿美元的资产，他警告称，偏好高风险的投资者可能会蒙受损失。

阿布林表示，“我认为我们的经济正进入周期性衰退，股市在明年初可能会大跌10%至15%。”

道琼斯指数周四终止了连跌。在下跌335点之后，该指数周四闭市上涨122点，以及在周五续起372点，扭转了连续两天下跌的趋势。不过，总体上看，美股第四季开局不利，道指仅在三天的时间里就下跌近800点，较历史高点下跌了4.4%。

为了保护自己的投资组合不受市场剧烈波动的影响，阿布林改变了他一贯的投资策略。今年8月，他没有完全依靠股票获利，而是将30%的资产转移到私募股权和现金上。

他表示：“美国国内的经济状况真的不太适合冒险。制造业ISM表现糟糕。非制造业略有改善，但仍令人失望。”

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