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全球央行过去一个月纷纷推出宽松政策措施，有鉴于此，Independent Strategy总裁兼全球策略师大卫罗奇表示，明年金价可能会飙升30%达到每安士2000美元。现货金价目前保持在每安士1500美元左右。

美联储9月将基准隔夜拆借利率下调至1.75%至2%之间。欧洲央行也将主要存款利率下调至-0.5%的历史低点，并在同一个月推出了新的大规模债券购买计划。尽管日本短期利率目标已经处于负水平区间，但日本央行仍表示10月可能进一步采取宽松措施。

罗奇周四在接受CNBC“Squawk Box”访问时说：“我的直觉告诉我，由于央行官员对法定货币的‘诽谤’，而且情况将变得更糟，人们将寻找一种替代货币。”

罗奇称：“黄金是一种很好的替代货币，因为它很安全，而且与支付负利率的存款相比，黄金的持有成本为零。因此，今年年底前金价有可能会触及1600美元，明年则进一步走高到2000美元。

日本央行行长黑田东彦在9月宣布日本央行政策之后的新闻发布会上说：“面对日益加剧的全球风险，我们更渴望采取行动。我们将在下个月的会议上仔细研究经济和物价的走势情况，以决定是否放宽银根。”

罗奇指出，在未能实现通膨率目标后，各国央行目前“相当有理由担心”下一次经济低迷。