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郭台铭退党，台湾总统大选形成“三脚督”的态势只差临门一脚，郭台铭若以独立参选人身份参选，将会与国民党总统参选人韩国瑜及现任总统蔡英文竞争，料冲击韩国瑜及蔡英文的支持率。

两岸政策协会秘书长王智盛周四分析，若郭确定参选总统，恐带动年轻蓝、知识蓝产生对国民党总统参选人韩国瑜的弃保效应，郭参选后会吸到韩与蔡英文的选票，若郭变成第2名，研判韩恐遭弃保。

两岸政策协会当天公布“2020总统大选之选情民调”调查结果，蔡英文获得38.7%的支持率、韩国瑜26.7%、郭台铭23.2%。

而台湾《联合报》9月9日公布的民调则显示，蔡英文支持度为33％、郭台铭27%、韩国瑜26％。

较早前，TVBS民调中心9月3日所公布的民调则指出，若是韩国瑜与蔡英文两人竞选，蔡支持度是49%、韩国瑜41%，只差8%。但若是加上郭台铭共三人参选，蔡支持度为34%，韩国瑜31%，郭台铭27%。

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