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韩国央行预测，全球贸易冲突将和2008年金融危机一样严重冲击韩国出口。之前的数据显示，截至7月份，韩国出口已连续八个月下滑。

韩央行发布《货币信贷政策报告》指出，今年5月以来，随着全球贸易争端加剧，韩国出口同比降幅不断拉大，除半导体、汽车以外的大部分产品出口量减少。韩央行认为，这与2000年互联网泡沫、2008年金融危机对韩国出口的影响程度相似。

韩央行还指出，对日本限贸拖累韩国经济的忧虑也在加深。考虑到可能给日本和全球IT企业造成的负面影响，有舆论认为限制对韩出口的状态难以旷日持久，但也有人认为日本限贸出于经济以外的原因，有可能长期化或扩大化。

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