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周一纽约黄金期货价格窄幅波动，因市场在等待美联储下周的利率决定，以及寻求更多催化剂的推动。

周一纽约商品交易所8月黄金期价格微涨20美仙或0.01%，闭市报每安士1426.90美元。

周一，9月白银期货价格劲升21.60美仙或1.33%，闭市报每安士16.411美元。白银在七个交易日内总计攀升超过8%，摆脱了2019年多数时间里的窄幅波动沉闷走势。

在上周纽约联储主席威廉姆斯发表鸽派言论之后，上周美联储降息50个基点的定价飙升。目前市场预计美联储将在7月30日至31日的会议上降息。

一名分析师称，虽然近期贵金属表现靓丽，但现时全球经济景气已经滑落至低位、大宗商品整体面临着通缩的压力，而美国利率水平的下降空间也不大，黄金或难有大牛市行情。

大宗商品价格有明显顺周期性，黄金牛市通常产生于经济繁荣期。对大宗商品的需求主要决定于全球经济的经济状况。经济增长状况越好，对大宗商品的需求就越强。由于大宗商品价格决定了金价的长期趋势，所以金价的最主要决定因素是全球经济景气。

黄金的避险属性决定了黄金对大宗商品价格的短期偏离。黄金虽然已经不可能再成为货币，但因为其价值高，性质稳定、且密度高，因而仍然是价值储藏的重要手段。

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