星期六 2025年 7月 12日
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IMF预测:越南今年经济增长将放缓至6.5%

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国际货币基金组织(IMF)周二表示,预测2019年越南的经济增速将从去年7.1%的10年高位放缓至6.5%,因外围环境疲软。

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IMF在一份关于越南经济发展的报告中表示,预计2020年和中期内越南经济增长都将维持在6.5%。该基金还表示,2018年越南的平均通膨率为3.5%,预计2019年将升至3.6%,2020年升至3.8%。

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IMF表示,2018年,尽管贸易紧张和动荡影响了越南,但由于中产阶级收入和消费的健康增长、强劲的收成和制造业的飙升,越南经济一直保持弹性。

IMF称:“在有竞争力的劳动力成本和其他强有力的基本面因素(包括多元化贸易结构),以及最近签署的推动改革的自由贸易协定的帮助下,这种强劲的经济势头预计将在2019年继续下去。不过,增长预计会出现软着陆,2019年和中期内降至6.5%,反映出疲软的外部环境。”

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