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台湾国民党初选民调15日出炉，虽然高雄市长韩国瑜政党对比大胜蔡英文和柯文哲，不过，两岸政策协会周三公布”近期两岸议题与2020总统大选投票意向”民意调查结果显示，在蔡、韩对决情况下，蔡英文的支持度45.9%，韩国瑜为39.0%。蔡领先6.9个百分点。

据联合新闻网报道，这份民调指出，如果台北市长柯文哲也参战，蔡英文支持度36.3%、韩国瑜33.7%，柯文哲支持度为22.3%。

至于郭台铭动向仍未明朗，若蔡、韩、柯、郭四人参战，蔡英文支持度33.1%、韩国瑜29.9%、郭台铭16.9%、柯文哲14.0%。一旦郭台铭与柯文哲搭档参选，蔡英文33.5%，韩国瑜32.4%，郭柯的支持度26.3%。

此次民调是在7月15日至16日进行访问。此次成功访问1077位成年人。在95%信心水准下，抽样误差为正负2.99%。调查以台湾地区住宅电话为母体，并采电话号码尾数2码随机方式进行。