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周三发布的一项备受关注的调查显示，2019年第二季英国经济似乎已经出现自2012年末以来的首次萎缩，因全球紧张局势加剧了人们对英国退欧的担忧。

英国央行总裁卡尼表示，无协议退欧是英国经济面临的与日俱增的风险，可能需要更多的帮助来应对经济滑坡，这促使投资者加大对英国央行降息的押注。

IHS Markit/CIPS公布的英国6月服务业采购经理人指数（PMI）从5月的51.0降至50.2，仅略高于50的枯荣分界线，且低于分析师预期的51.0。

IHS Markit/CIPS指出，本周较早公布的PMI调查显示，制造业及建筑业6月皆呈萎缩，这表明英国整体经济可能在第二季萎缩0.1%。

官方数据显示，英国国内生产总值上一次按季萎缩是在2012年第四季。上一次连续两个或两个以上季度萎缩是在2008年至2009年全球金融危机期间。人们普遍认为连续两季萎缩可定义为经济衰退。

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