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美联储刚公布的褐皮书显示，美国经济在9月和10月初小幅至温和增长，但许多企业对未来几个月的前景更加悲观，这一最新迹象表明，美国贸易政策的影响继续给该国经济前景蒙阴。外围紧张局势持续和全球增长放缓拖累了经济活动。这份反映美国经济最新状况的褐皮书还显示，物价上涨步伐依然温和。

褐皮书称，企业联系人大多预计经济扩张将继续；然而，许多联系人下调了未来6-12个月的增长预测。

褐皮书称，多个地区报告称，由于订单疲软，制造商裁员；并指出零售商和制造商的投入成本都在上升，通常是那些受新关税影响的产品。

美联储表示，全美企业零售销售报告喜忧参半，但家庭支出总体保持稳健。

美联储今年已两次降息，扭转了过去三年的加息周期。美联储主席鲍威尔将降息描述为针对全球经济增长放缓、外围紧张局势和低通膨的预防性举措，目的是维持有史以来持续时间最长的经济扩张。

另外，褐皮书指出，企业联系人报告，就业市场供应仍然紧俏，总体来说，就业人数略有上升，企业仍难以招请到工人。

芝加哥商业交易所集团（CME Group）对联邦基金利率合约的分析显示，投资者目前预计，美联储在10月底的下一次会议上将再降息25个基点。

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