星期六 2025年 12月 20日
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衰退担忧加剧 30年美债收益率又创新低

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30年期美债收益率周三(8月28日)跌至纪录低点,而美国收益率曲线进一步反转,因固定收益交易商愈发相信通膨将保持温和,经济成长将放缓。

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30年美国国债收益率跌至1.907%,打破了8月初创下的历史低点1.916%。30年期国债收益率随后从低点回升至1.943%,仍低于3个月和1个月期国债等期限短得多的美国国债的收益率。

此同时,收益率曲线反转继续恶化。10年期美国国债收益率在周二连续第二天下跌后,进一步跌破两年期国债的收益率,其分别为1.469%和1.504%。

债券交易员认为,10年期国债收益率低于两年期国债收益率是一个明显的衰退信号。

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