12399456https://www.upal.com.my/zh/feeds/jobFeedKwongwahArray ( [0] => HTTP/1.1 200 OK [1] => Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2025 19:30:35 GMT [2] => Content-Type: text/xml; charset=utf-8 [3] => Connection: close [4] => Cache-Control: no-cache, private [5] => Cache-Control: no-cache, no-store, must-revalidate [6] => Set-Cookie: UpalLiveSession=eyJpdiI6ImU1bHZObVlUT09DUlwvSFFlck4xd1p3PT0iLCJ2YWx1ZSI6IkdiRVFxbEJURlNzQytSUSthRFlRMnRSYkVDa3pYK0V1ZnVyZ1ZHRzNBMG1RWkZGdUMyRnhkdUErOXpLRnpXS0JMWnRkQ3FoeWRFZ1p5dmkzeUdtSGpBPT0iLCJtYWMiOiI2MjMyMDQyODRhNWYxMDAwMTM2NTViNTZhYWYyNjg2N2Q1YzJkMzRiNGM3YWUzZjFlZDc4N2Y5ZGJmOTViOTc0In0%3D; expires=Mon, 18-Dec-2028 19:30:35 GMT; Max-Age=94608000; path=/; HttpOnly [7] => x-frame-options: SAMEORIGIN [8] => x-content-type-options: nosniff [9] => x-xss-protection: 1; mode=block [10] => referrer-policy: strict-origin-when-cross-origin [11] => permissions-policy: geolocation=(), microphone=(), camera=() [12] => content-security-policy: default-src * 'unsafe-inline' 'unsafe-eval' data: blob:; script-src * 'unsafe-inline' 'unsafe-eval' data: blob:; style-src * 'unsafe-inline' data:; img-src * data: blob:; font-src * data:; connect-src *; frame-src *; object-src *; media-src *; child-src *; [13] => Server: cloudflare [14] => x-robots-tag: noindex, nofollow, nosnippet, noarchive [15] => strict-transport-security: max-age=31536000; includeSubDomains; preload [16] => expires: Sat, 20 Dec 2025 19:30:35 GMT [17] => vary: Accept-Encoding [18] => Report-To: {"group":"cf-nel","max_age":604800,"endpoints":[{"url":"https://a.nel.cloudflare.com/report/v4?s=68hFV31mkdLRCU5KKLH6JWBXlG9pPkrd7T7TukZwIK6DEp9sbs1XsRCxZeyPq6vfSmuiKK5JIp92CXn6FmoyZpacKxAUZkHxHtvxSsqlZQ%3D%3D"}]} [19] => cf-cache-status: DYNAMIC [20] => Nel: {"report_to":"cf-nel","success_fraction":0.0,"max_age":604800} [21] => Speculation-Rules: "/cdn-cgi/speculation" [22] => Server-Timing: cfCacheStatus;desc="DYNAMIC" [23] => Server-Timing: cfEdge;dur=4,cfOrigin;dur=808 [24] => CF-RAY: 9b0950b6284451ae-LAX [25] => alt-svc: h3=":443"; ma=86400 ) 789

双线资本（DoubleLine Capital）首席执行员、有“新债王”之称的杰弗里冈拉克（Jeffrey Gundlach）周四表示，预计明年美国总统大选前，美国经济衰退的几率为75%，高过6月时估计的65%。

他指出，收益率曲线出现40基点的倒挂，其后通常会出现问题，收益率曲线会开始再度陡斜。美联储将要降息，但衰退命运已接近被确定。

他对股市看法较淡，继续唱好黄金，直言进入负利率的债券数量持续增加，投资者都希望转持有较债券回报理想的资产，金价可持续上扬。

冈拉克在6月份时曾表示，美国经济未来6个月内陷入衰退的可能性已升至40-45%，未来一年内陷入衰退的可能性高达65%。

冈拉克彼时表示，收益率曲线和纽约联储衰退概率模型都显示衰退的可能性在上升。