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789

今届美洲杯东道主巴西在小组最后一战迎来秘鲁,桑巴军团出线形势乐观,他们依然是今届大赛头号热门。
最新夺冠赔率上,巴西仍然高居第一,第二是乌拉圭,第三是已出线的哥伦比亚。阿根廷跌至第4位,智利第5,秘鲁第6位。
A组中,巴西和秘鲁手握出线主动权,委内瑞拉本轮击败玻利维亚将晋级8强,玻利维亚已提前被淘汰。
在南美赛事中,主场优势明显。美洲杯东道主自带光环,在美洲杯超百年的历史中,东道主夺冠的比例高达51.22%。据统计,近10届美洲杯赛事中,东道主的小组赛成绩为20胜9平0负,未尝败绩。巴西小组赛目前取得1胜1平。
巴西是第5次作为南美杯的东道主,此前4次他们全部捧起最后桂冠,分别为1919年、1922年、1949年和2007年,不过巴西在近三届美洲杯都倒在了四强之外。
事实上,A组出线形势最好的是委内瑞拉,他们只要击败玻利维亚就出线。若大胜的话,委内瑞拉甚至可能排名第一(假设巴西与秘鲁战平)。然而,委内瑞拉进攻端能力有限,巴西很大机会战胜秘鲁成为本组第一。
3个小组前两名晋级8强之外,两个最佳小组第3名亦晋级。若无意外,A组的巴西、秘鲁和委内瑞拉都将出线。
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